🎮 The Next Input — Issue #135

The Truth About "AI" Layoffs

Hiring No Money GIF by INTO ACTION

The Briefing — 60 sec

🛠️ The Playbook — The AI Reality Filter

Mission Separate AI signal from hype before making strategic or operational decisions.
Difficulty Advanced
Build time 2–3 hours
ROI Prevents overcommitment, reputational damage, and misallocated capital.

0) Why This Matters

Summits amplify ambition.
Headlines amplify fear.
Enterprises amplify mistakes.

The risk isn’t missing AI.
The risk is believing the wrong narrative about it.

You need a filter before you need a roadmap.

1) Architecture

Component

Tool

Purpose

Owner

Failure mode

Claim extractor

GPT-5-mini

Isolate factual claims from headlines and PR

Analyst

Missing implicit assumptions

Capability assessor

Claude 4.6 Sonnet

Evaluate technical feasibility

Tech Lead

Overestimating maturity

Incentive scanner

Claude 4.5 Haiku

Identify who benefits from the narrative

Strategy

Ignoring financial incentives

Evidence binder

Perplexity Pro

Ground claims in real deployments

Ops

Unverified comparisons

Decision gate

Human exec review

Approve adoption or defer

Exec

Emotional decision-making

2) Workflow

  1. Extract claims: Strip the article or announcement into discrete assertions.

  2. Assess feasibility: Evaluate technical and operational maturity.

  3. Scan incentives: Identify commercial, political, or reputational drivers.

  4. Ground in evidence: Compare against real-world deployments.

  5. Score risk: Rate adoption risk (Low / Medium / High).

  6. Decide deliberately: Adopt, pilot, or defer with documented reasoning.

3) Example Prompts

Claim Extraction

Extract all factual claims from this article.
Separate:
- verified facts
- forward-looking statements
- opinion or speculation
Return as a table.

Feasibility Check

For each forward-looking claim:
Assess technical feasibility in:
- 12 months
- 36 months
Provide reasoning.

Incentive Scan

Identify:
- financial incentives
- political incentives
- reputational incentives
Influencing this announcement.
Return structured output.

4) Guardrails

  • No adoption based on headline alone.

  • Forward-looking claims require feasibility scoring.

  • Public deployment requires documented risk assessment.

  • If incentives outweigh evidence, pause.

5) Pilot Rollout — 3 hours

  1. Select one recent AI announcement.

  2. Run claim extraction + feasibility check.

  3. Identify incentive drivers.

  4. Score adoption risk.

  5. Present findings to leadership.

  6. Document decision rationale.

6) Metrics

  • % of AI initiatives evaluated pre-adoption

  • Forecast accuracy vs reality

  • Capital allocated vs realised ROI

  • Public incident count

  • Leadership decision turnaround time

Pro Tip: If everyone is excited, slow down.

🎯 The Arsenal — Tools & Platforms

Copy-paste prompt block:

Before adopting this AI initiative:
Extract claims.
Assess feasibility.
Identify incentives.
If risk outweighs evidence, say so.

💡 Free Office Hours

Want help implementing this? Book a free 15-minute Office Hours slot — no sales pitch, just workflows solved.

🕹️ Game Over

Noise scales fast. Signal requires discipline.

Aaron Automating the boring. Amplifying the brilliant.